Market Trends:

  • The markets continue to experience selling pressure across corn, beans, and wheat, with little relief in sight.
  • Factors like option expiration and first notice next week are looming, leading to uncertainty among farmers about rolling contracts forward.
  • Despite the desire for a rally, the market remains in a downtrend, with the potential for further downward movement.

Upcoming Events:

  • The end of March brings the anticipation of acreage reports, which could provide a much-needed boost to market sentiment.
  • South American weather and fund short positions are key factors to watch for potential market shifts.
  • The wheat market shows promise, especially with the possibility of drier weather in the plains and ongoing geopolitical tensions affecting global shipping routes.

Other Considerations:

  • Equities and energy markets are showing positive signs, potentially influencing market sentiment.
  • Discussions around renewable fuel standards and government mandates could impact market dynamics in the future.
  • The dollar's stability and its ripple effects on energy markets are also worth monitoring.

image author
Cordon Sroka
Corn Cognoscente
Area of expertise is hedging for grain and livestock producers. I mainly following spreads, basis and commercial activity along with technical indicators to confirm my ideas. I try to hedge at a point where the producer is protecting positive margin and not just an overall price in the market. I use both futures and options to manage risk for clients.

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